Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Quarter-finals
Astana WHOME · -
61 : 402023.04.13 · 종료
Okzhetpes WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.0%
VALUE EDGE+60.0%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsOkzhetpes W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
125.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
119.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 51-64L · 66-74L · 70-48W · 77-35W · 39-59
Okzhetpes W
W · 31-53L · 59-63W · 76-51W · 67-38W · 40-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.08 | Astana W | 67 : 58 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.12.23 | Astana W | 67 : 52 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.12.22 | Astana W | 61 : 47 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.11.16 | Okzhetpes W | 53 : 64 | Astana W |
| 2024.11.15 | Okzhetpes W | 68 : 81 | Astana W |
| 2024.01.26 | Okzhetpes W | 76 : 64 | Astana W |
| 2023.11.25 | Astana W | 53 : 49 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2023.11.21 | Okzhetpes W | 57 : 65 | Astana W |
| 2023.04.14 | Okzhetpes W | 39 : 59 | Astana W |
| 2023.04.13 | Astana W | 61 : 40 | Okzhetpes W |