Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Astana WHOME · -
66 : 742023.03.14 · 종료
Tomiris Almaty WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.6%
VALUE EDGE+50.6%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsTomiris Almaty W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.25
125.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
123.08
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
L · 70-48W · 77-35W · 39-59W · 52-46L · 77-57
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 57-76W · 52-80W · 71-46L · 52-46L · 53-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.15 | Astana W | 76 : 52 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.05.13 | Tomiris Almaty W | 55 : 64 | Astana W |
| 2024.05.12 | Astana W | 67 : 53 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.01.29 | Tomiris Almaty W | 31 : 83 | Astana W |
| 2023.11.26 | Tomiris Almaty W | 50 : 74 | Astana W |
| 2023.11.23 | Tomiris Almaty W | 48 : 59 | Astana W |
| 2023.03.14 | Astana W | 66 : 74 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.02.01 | Astana W | 52 : 46 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2022.12.15 | Astana W | 56 : 78 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2022.11.12 | Astana W | 68 : 65 | Tomiris Almaty W |