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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Okzhetpes WHOME · -
76 : 512023.03.11 · 종료
Shymkent WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Okzhetpes WAnalysis MetricsShymkent W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -11.25
119.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.58
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okzhetpes W
W · 67-38W · 40-59L · 56-75W · 85-41W · 54-35
Shymkent W
L · 40-59L · 80-52W · 55-84L · 54-67L · 78-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.11Okzhetpes W76 : 51Shymkent W
2023.02.01Shymkent W40 : 59Okzhetpes W
2022.12.15Shymkent W54 : 67Okzhetpes W
2022.11.11Okzhetpes W67 : 57Shymkent W
2021.12.23Shymkent W45 : 94Okzhetpes W
2021.11.23Shymkent W40 : 75Okzhetpes W