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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
53 : 862023.01.30 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.33
123.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.50
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
W · 49-68L · 72-87W · 56-78L · 77-79L · 71-56
Turan W
W · 77-57W · 47-76W · 88-48W · 77-79W · 71-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.12Tomiris Almaty W63 : 82Turan W
2023.12.24Tomiris Almaty W49 : 76Turan W
2023.10.18Tomiris Almaty W47 : 71Turan W
2023.03.12Tomiris Almaty W57 : 76Turan W
2023.01.30Tomiris Almaty W53 : 86Turan W
2022.12.13Tomiris Almaty W77 : 79Turan W