Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Astana WHOME · -
61 : 462023.01.28 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.4%
VALUE EDGE+50.4%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.08
125.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
98.08
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation0.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 55-70L · 56-78L · 71-57W · 63-47W · 68-65
Pavlodar W
L · 47-76W · 66-72W · 71-56L · 63-47W · 47-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.02 | Astana W | 54 : 68 | Pavlodar W |
| 2026.11.01 | Astana W | 66 : 53 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.02.12 | Pavlodar W | 41 : 81 | Astana W |
| 2025.02.03 | Astana W | 69 : 54 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.02.02 | Astana W | 72 : 37 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.12.09 | Pavlodar W | 35 : 90 | Astana W |
| 2024.12.08 | Pavlodar W | 45 : 86 | Astana W |
| 2024.04.18 | Astana W | 92 : 62 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.04.16 | Pavlodar W | 53 : 77 | Astana W |
| 2024.04.15 | Astana W | 78 : 60 | Pavlodar W |