Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan

Pavlodar WHOME · -
47 : 762022.12.16 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.9%
VALUE EDGE+75.9%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
98.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
125.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
W · 66-72W · 71-56L · 63-47W · 47-58L · 29-71
Turan W
W · 88-48W · 77-79W · 71-57W · 55-96W · 73-45
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.11 | Turan W | 61 : 57 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.03.10 | Turan W | 75 : 48 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.02.08 | Pavlodar W | 52 : 97 | Turan W |
| 2024.10.09 | Pavlodar W | 56 : 71 | Turan W |
| 2024.10.08 | Pavlodar W | 45 : 65 | Turan W |
| 2024.03.14 | Turan W | 85 : 70 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.12.26 | Turan W | 82 : 52 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.10.20 | Turan W | 75 : 61 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.03.15 | Pavlodar W | 65 : 78 | Turan W |
| 2023.02.02 | Pavlodar W | 60 : 91 | Turan W |