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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Pavlodar WHOME · -
47 : 762022.12.16 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +75.9%
VALUE EDGE+75.9%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.08 Point MarginHigher is better -3.33
98.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.50
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
24.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
75.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
W · 66-72W · 71-56L · 63-47W · 47-58L · 29-71
Turan W
W · 88-48W · 77-79W · 71-57W · 55-96W · 73-45

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.11Turan W61 : 57Pavlodar W
2025.03.10Turan W75 : 48Pavlodar W
2025.02.08Pavlodar W52 : 97Turan W
2024.10.09Pavlodar W56 : 71Turan W
2024.10.08Pavlodar W45 : 65Turan W
2024.03.14Turan W85 : 70Pavlodar W
2023.12.26Turan W82 : 52Pavlodar W
2023.10.20Turan W75 : 61Pavlodar W
2023.03.15Pavlodar W65 : 78Turan W
2023.02.02Pavlodar W60 : 91Turan W