Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Karaganda WHOME · -
41 : 672022.12.15 · 종료
Aktobe WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
Karaganda WAnalysis MetricsAktobe W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
-11.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-20.00
113.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
20.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda W
W · 50-44L · 58-54L · 47-58L · 72-61L · 47-79
Aktobe W
W · 78-63W · 61-78W · 67-55L · 73-45W · 79-30
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.01 | Karaganda W | 34 : 86 | Aktobe W |
| 2022.12.15 | Karaganda W | 41 : 67 | Aktobe W |
| 2022.10.16 | Aktobe W | 77 : 61 | Karaganda W |