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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
77 : 792022.12.13 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.3%
VALUE EDGE+73.3%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.33
123.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.50
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 71-56W · 71-56L · 68-65W · 99-39W · 59-75
Turan W
W · 71-57W · 55-96W · 73-45W · 72-89W · 77-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.12Tomiris Almaty W63 : 82Turan W
2023.12.24Tomiris Almaty W49 : 76Turan W
2023.10.18Tomiris Almaty W47 : 71Turan W
2023.03.12Tomiris Almaty W57 : 76Turan W
2023.01.30Tomiris Almaty W53 : 86Turan W
2022.12.13Tomiris Almaty W77 : 79Turan W