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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Karaganda WHOME · -
47 : 582022.11.12 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +78.5%
VALUE EDGE+78.5%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Karaganda WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-13.08 Point MarginHigher is better -9.08
113.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 98.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
21.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
78.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda W
L · 72-61L · 47-79L · 77-51W · 77-41L · 77-61
Pavlodar W
L · 29-71L · 59-75L · 80-72W · 66-55L · 84-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.11.12Karaganda W47 : 58Pavlodar W
2021.12.20Karaganda W56 : 77Pavlodar W
2021.10.11Karaganda W40 : 74Pavlodar W
2020.12.25Pavlodar W61 : 58Karaganda W
2020.10.22Pavlodar W64 : 50Karaganda W