Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan

Karaganda WHOME · -
47 : 582022.11.12 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.5%
VALUE EDGE+78.5%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Karaganda WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-13.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.08
113.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
98.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda W
L · 72-61L · 47-79L · 77-51W · 77-41L · 77-61
Pavlodar W
L · 29-71L · 59-75L · 80-72W · 66-55L · 84-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.12 | Karaganda W | 47 : 58 | Pavlodar W |
| 2021.12.20 | Karaganda W | 56 : 77 | Pavlodar W |
| 2021.10.11 | Karaganda W | 40 : 74 | Pavlodar W |
| 2020.12.25 | Pavlodar W | 61 : 58 | Karaganda W |
| 2020.10.22 | Pavlodar W | 64 : 50 | Karaganda W |