Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Aktau WHOME · -
72 : 612022.11.11 · 종료
Karaganda WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.2%
VALUE EDGE+82.2%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADES
Aktau WAnalysis MetricsKaraganda W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.08
102.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
111.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktau W
L · 71-53W · 80-72L · 76-81W · 64-81W · 83-84
Karaganda W
L · 47-79L · 77-51W · 77-41L · 77-61W · 60-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.11 | Aktau W | 72 : 61 | Karaganda W |
| 2022.04.17 | Karaganda W | 29 : 81 | Aktau W |
| 2022.04.13 | Karaganda W | 52 : 86 | Aktau W |
| 2022.02.02 | Karaganda W | 45 : 83 | Aktau W |
| 2022.01.29 | Karaganda W | 46 : 64 | Aktau W |
| 2021.12.23 | Karaganda W | 69 : 87 | Aktau W |
| 2021.11.23 | Karaganda W | 53 : 74 | Aktau W |
| 2021.01.24 | Karaganda W | 55 : 70 | Aktau W |
| 2020.12.20 | Karaganda W | 79 : 80 | Aktau W |