Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Turan WHOME · -
84 : 652022.10.16 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADES
Turan WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.08
125.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
98.08
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Turan W
W · 49-54W · 40-53W · 70-56L · 53-63W · 64-67
Pavlodar W
L · 83-84L · 88-70L · 78-73L · 58-66L · 58-50
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.11 | Turan W | 61 : 57 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.03.10 | Turan W | 75 : 48 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.02.08 | Pavlodar W | 52 : 97 | Turan W |
| 2024.10.09 | Pavlodar W | 56 : 71 | Turan W |
| 2024.10.08 | Pavlodar W | 45 : 65 | Turan W |
| 2024.03.14 | Turan W | 85 : 70 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.12.26 | Turan W | 82 : 52 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.10.20 | Turan W | 75 : 61 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.03.15 | Pavlodar W | 65 : 78 | Turan W |
| 2023.02.02 | Pavlodar W | 60 : 91 | Turan W |