Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - 3rd place
Astana WHOME · -
76 : 522024.05.15 · 종료
Tomiris Almaty WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADES
Astana WAnalysis MetricsTomiris Almaty W
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+15.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.83
105.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
124.50
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 55-64W · 67-53L · 53-54W · 54-57L · 71-50
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 55-64L · 67-53L · 46-84L · 69-60L · 66-26
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.15 | Astana W | 76 : 52 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.05.13 | Tomiris Almaty W | 55 : 64 | Astana W |
| 2024.05.12 | Astana W | 67 : 53 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.01.29 | Tomiris Almaty W | 31 : 83 | Astana W |
| 2023.11.26 | Tomiris Almaty W | 50 : 74 | Astana W |
| 2023.11.23 | Tomiris Almaty W | 48 : 59 | Astana W |
| 2023.03.14 | Astana W | 66 : 74 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.02.01 | Astana W | 52 : 46 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2022.12.15 | Astana W | 56 : 78 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2022.11.12 | Astana W | 68 : 65 | Tomiris Almaty W |