Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Semi-finals
Astana WHOME · -
53 : 542024.05.05 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADES
Astana WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+15.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
105.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
124.58
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 54-57L · 71-50L · 53-67W · 70-62W · 92-62
Turan W
L · 54-57W · 71-50W · 53-67L · 70-62W · 70-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.17 | Turan W | 60 : 81 | Astana W |
| 2025.05.11 | Astana W | 69 : 52 | Turan W |
| 2025.05.11 | Astana W | 76 : 48 | Turan W |
| 2025.03.15 | Turan W | 54 : 72 | Astana W |
| 2025.03.14 | Turan W | 55 : 73 | Astana W |
| 2025.02.09 | Turan W | 48 : 79 | Astana W |
| 2024.10.13 | Astana W | 71 : 35 | Turan W |
| 2024.10.12 | Astana W | 59 : 44 | Turan W |
| 2024.05.05 | Astana W | 53 : 54 | Turan W |
| 2024.05.02 | Turan W | 54 : 57 | Astana W |