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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan · National League Women - Semi-finals
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
46 : 842024.04.30 · 종료
Aktobe WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +83.4%
VALUE EDGE+83.4%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsAktobe W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-7.67 Point MarginHigher is better -20.00
124.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 20.00
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
16.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
83.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 69-60L · 66-26W · 59-65W · 65-64W · 55-58
Aktobe W
W · 69-60W · 66-26W · 102-44W · 23-99W · 92-39

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.30Tomiris Almaty W46 : 84Aktobe W
2024.04.28Aktobe W69 : 60Tomiris Almaty W
2024.04.27Aktobe W66 : 26Tomiris Almaty W
2024.03.15Tomiris Almaty W64 : 76Aktobe W
2023.12.27Tomiris Almaty W83 : 72Aktobe W
2023.10.21Tomiris Almaty W51 : 67Aktobe W
2023.04.15Tomiris Almaty W55 : 62Aktobe W
2023.04.14Aktobe W54 : 56Tomiris Almaty W
2023.04.13Tomiris Almaty W62 : 74Aktobe W
2022.11.08Tomiris Almaty W67 : 62Aktobe W