Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Semi-finals
Aktobe WHOME · -
69 : 602024.04.28 · 종료
Tomiris Almaty WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.0%
VALUE EDGE+77.0%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Aktobe WAnalysis MetricsTomiris Almaty W
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-20.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.08
20.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
124.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe W
W · 66-26W · 102-44W · 23-99W · 92-39W · 64-76
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 66-26W · 59-65W · 65-64W · 55-58L · 42-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.30 | Tomiris Almaty W | 46 : 84 | Aktobe W |
| 2024.04.28 | Aktobe W | 69 : 60 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.27 | Aktobe W | 66 : 26 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.03.15 | Tomiris Almaty W | 64 : 76 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.12.27 | Tomiris Almaty W | 83 : 72 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.10.21 | Tomiris Almaty W | 51 : 67 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.04.15 | Tomiris Almaty W | 55 : 62 | Aktobe W |
| 2023.04.14 | Aktobe W | 54 : 56 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.04.13 | Tomiris Almaty W | 62 : 74 | Aktobe W |
| 2022.11.08 | Tomiris Almaty W | 67 : 62 | Aktobe W |