Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Quarter-finals
Pavlodar WHOME · -
53 : 772024.04.16 · 종료
Astana WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY86.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+86.1%
VALUE EDGE+86.1%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsAstana W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.83
98.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
105.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
L · 78-60L · 85-70W · 95-50L · 91-99L · 86-63
Astana W
W · 78-60W · 72-51W · 55-78L · 53-56W · 28-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.02 | Astana W | 54 : 68 | Pavlodar W |
| 2026.11.01 | Astana W | 66 : 53 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.02.12 | Pavlodar W | 41 : 81 | Astana W |
| 2025.02.03 | Astana W | 69 : 54 | Pavlodar W |
| 2025.02.02 | Astana W | 72 : 37 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.12.09 | Pavlodar W | 35 : 90 | Astana W |
| 2024.12.08 | Pavlodar W | 45 : 86 | Astana W |
| 2024.04.18 | Astana W | 92 : 62 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.04.16 | Pavlodar W | 53 : 77 | Astana W |
| 2024.04.15 | Astana W | 78 : 60 | Pavlodar W |