Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan · National League Women - Quarter-finals
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
42 : 672024.04.15 · 종료
Okzhetpes WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsOkzhetpes W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-8.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.58
126.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
119.08
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 64-76W · 47-97L · 63-82W · 85-86W · 64-85
Okzhetpes W
W · 74-70L · 62-53W · 84-28L · 65-62L · 64-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.19 | Okzhetpes W | 59 : 65 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.18 | Tomiris Almaty W | 65 : 64 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.04.16 | Okzhetpes W | 55 : 58 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.15 | Tomiris Almaty W | 42 : 67 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.01.30 | Okzhetpes W | 64 : 85 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.01.27 | Tomiris Almaty W | 70 : 60 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2023.11.22 | Tomiris Almaty W | 81 : 53 | Okzhetpes W |