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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Okzhetpes WHOME · -
74 : 702024.03.15 · 종료
Aktau WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.6%
VALUE EDGE+69.6%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADES
Okzhetpes WAnalysis MetricsAktau W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33
119.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 102.50
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okzhetpes W
L · 62-53W · 84-28L · 65-62L · 64-85W · 43-80
Aktau W
L · 55-78W · 91-99L · 85-86L · 51-86W · 80-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.05.19Aktau W52 : 57Okzhetpes W
2025.05.18Aktau W65 : 63Okzhetpes W
2025.05.14Okzhetpes W61 : 55Aktau W
2025.05.13Okzhetpes W57 : 54Aktau W
2025.03.15Aktau W69 : 63Okzhetpes W
2025.03.14Aktau W49 : 74Okzhetpes W
2025.02.12Aktau W59 : 71Okzhetpes W
2024.12.11Okzhetpes W66 : 50Aktau W
2024.12.10Okzhetpes W75 : 69Aktau W
2024.03.15Okzhetpes W74 : 70Aktau W