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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
63 : 822024.03.12 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY82.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +82.4%
VALUE EDGE+82.4%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.58
123.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.08
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
17.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
82.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
W · 85-86W · 64-85L · 31-83W · 70-60W · 74-83
Turan W
W · 65-62W · 51-86W · 63-62W · 86-59W · 61-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.12Tomiris Almaty W63 : 82Turan W
2023.12.24Tomiris Almaty W49 : 76Turan W
2023.10.18Tomiris Almaty W47 : 71Turan W
2023.03.12Tomiris Almaty W57 : 76Turan W
2023.01.30Tomiris Almaty W53 : 86Turan W
2022.12.13Tomiris Almaty W77 : 79Turan W