Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
70 : 602024.01.27 · 종료
Okzhetpes WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsOkzhetpes W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.00
123.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
119.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
W · 74-83W · 83-72W · 56-78L · 49-76L · 76-74
Okzhetpes W
W · 76-64W · 109-70L · 65-47W · 72-49L · 71-43
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.19 | Okzhetpes W | 59 : 65 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.18 | Tomiris Almaty W | 65 : 64 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.04.16 | Okzhetpes W | 55 : 58 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.15 | Tomiris Almaty W | 42 : 67 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.01.30 | Okzhetpes W | 64 : 85 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.01.27 | Tomiris Almaty W | 70 : 60 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2023.11.22 | Tomiris Almaty W | 81 : 53 | Okzhetpes W |