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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
49 : 762023.12.24 · 종료
Turan WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 89.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +85.5%
VALUE EDGE+85.5%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsTuran W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.58
123.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.08
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
14.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
85.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 76-74L · 50-74W · 64-68L · 48-59W · 81-53
Turan W
W · 71-43W · 48-60W · 66-44L · 75-46W · 85-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.12Tomiris Almaty W63 : 82Turan W
2023.12.24Tomiris Almaty W49 : 76Turan W
2023.10.18Tomiris Almaty W47 : 71Turan W
2023.03.12Tomiris Almaty W57 : 76Turan W
2023.01.30Tomiris Almaty W53 : 86Turan W
2022.12.13Tomiris Almaty W77 : 79Turan W