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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Astana WHOME · -
55 : 602023.12.24 · 종료
Aktobe WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.4%
VALUE EDGE+55.4%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsAktobe W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+12.25 Point MarginHigher is better -20.00
114.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 20.00
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 45-73W · 50-74W · 53-49W · 48-59W · 70-39
Aktobe W
W · 78-51L · 48-60W · 61-89W · 75-46L · 82-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.02Astana W20 : 0Aktobe W
2025.03.01Astana W20 : 0Aktobe W
2025.02.07Astana W20 : 0Aktobe W
2024.11.29Aktobe W27 : 82Astana W
2024.11.28Aktobe W37 : 54Astana W
2024.03.12Astana W53 : 56Aktobe W
2023.12.24Astana W55 : 60Aktobe W
2023.10.18Astana W48 : 71Aktobe W
2023.04.20Astana W66 : 44Aktobe W
2023.04.18Aktobe W48 : 63Astana W