Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Pavlodar WHOME · -
69 : 812023.12.24 · 종료
Aktau WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsAktau W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
98.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
102.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
L · 78-51L · 73-52L · 64-68W · 65-53L · 70-39
Aktau W
W · 76-74W · 54-82L · 61-89W · 56-97W · 82-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.09 | Aktau W | 63 : 58 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.12.17 | Pavlodar W | 58 : 61 | Aktau W |
| 2024.12.16 | Pavlodar W | 63 : 80 | Aktau W |
| 2024.11.29 | Aktau W | 85 : 63 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.11.28 | Aktau W | 84 : 59 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.03.12 | Pavlodar W | 91 : 99 | Aktau W |
| 2023.12.24 | Pavlodar W | 69 : 81 | Aktau W |
| 2023.10.18 | Pavlodar W | 49 : 78 | Aktau W |
| 2023.04.14 | Aktau W | 75 : 73 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.04.13 | Pavlodar W | 57 : 77 | Aktau W |