Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Aktobe WHOME · -
78 : 512023.12.23 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME84.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+84.8%
VALUE EDGE+84.8%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
Aktobe WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-20.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.08
20.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
98.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe W
L · 48-60W · 61-89W · 75-46L · 82-89W · 62-87
Pavlodar W
L · 73-52L · 64-68W · 65-53L · 70-39W · 57-49
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.26 | Pavlodar W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2025.02.25 | Pavlodar W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2025.02.11 | Pavlodar W | 20 : 0 | Aktobe W |
| 2024.11.14 | Aktobe W | 57 : 60 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.11.13 | Aktobe W | 52 : 57 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.03.11 | Aktobe W | 86 : 63 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.12.23 | Aktobe W | 78 : 51 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.10.17 | Aktobe W | 74 : 51 | Pavlodar W |