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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Aktobe WHOME · -
78 : 512023.12.23 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.8%
VALUE EDGE+84.8%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
Aktobe WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-20.00 Point MarginHigher is better -9.08
20.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 98.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktobe W
L · 48-60W · 61-89W · 75-46L · 82-89W · 62-87
Pavlodar W
L · 73-52L · 64-68W · 65-53L · 70-39W · 57-49

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.26Pavlodar W20 : 0Aktobe W
2025.02.25Pavlodar W20 : 0Aktobe W
2025.02.11Pavlodar W20 : 0Aktobe W
2024.11.14Aktobe W57 : 60Pavlodar W
2024.11.13Aktobe W52 : 57Pavlodar W
2024.03.11Aktobe W86 : 63Pavlodar W
2023.12.23Aktobe W78 : 51Pavlodar W
2023.10.17Aktobe W74 : 51Pavlodar W