Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Aktau WHOME · -
76 : 742023.12.23 · 종료
Tomiris Almaty WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.6%
VALUE EDGE+79.6%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Aktau WAnalysis MetricsTomiris Almaty W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.25
102.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
123.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktau W
W · 54-82L · 61-89W · 56-97W · 82-89L · 66-82
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 50-74W · 64-68L · 48-59W · 81-53L · 57-49
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | Aktau W | 85 : 86 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.12.23 | Aktau W | 76 : 74 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.10.17 | Aktau W | 66 : 86 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.03.10 | Tomiris Almaty W | 71 : 46 | Aktau W |
| 2023.01.28 | Tomiris Almaty W | 72 : 87 | Aktau W |
| 2022.12.11 | Tomiris Almaty W | 71 : 56 | Aktau W |
| 2022.10.17 | Aktau W | 76 : 81 | Tomiris Almaty W |