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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Astana WHOME · -
53 : 492023.11.25 · 종료
Okzhetpes WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsOkzhetpes W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.83 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
125.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 119.17
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 48-59W · 70-39W · 57-65W · 65-51W · 61-83
Okzhetpes W
L · 65-53L · 81-53L · 57-65W · 85-67L · 73-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.08Astana W67 : 58Okzhetpes W
2024.12.23Astana W67 : 52Okzhetpes W
2024.12.22Astana W61 : 47Okzhetpes W
2024.11.16Okzhetpes W53 : 64Astana W
2024.11.15Okzhetpes W68 : 81Astana W
2024.01.26Okzhetpes W76 : 64Astana W
2023.11.25Astana W53 : 49Okzhetpes W
2023.11.21Okzhetpes W57 : 65Astana W
2023.04.14Okzhetpes W39 : 59Astana W
2023.04.13Astana W61 : 40Okzhetpes W