Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
81 : 532023.11.22 · 종료
Okzhetpes WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsOkzhetpes W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
123.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
119.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 57-49L · 51-67W · 77-91L · 47-71W · 66-86
Okzhetpes W
L · 57-65W · 85-67L · 73-51W · 81-57L · 67-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.19 | Okzhetpes W | 59 : 65 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.18 | Tomiris Almaty W | 65 : 64 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.04.16 | Okzhetpes W | 55 : 58 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.04.15 | Tomiris Almaty W | 42 : 67 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2024.01.30 | Okzhetpes W | 64 : 85 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2024.01.27 | Tomiris Almaty W | 70 : 60 | Okzhetpes W |
| 2023.11.22 | Tomiris Almaty W | 81 : 53 | Okzhetpes W |