Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Pavlodar WHOME · -
57 : 492023.11.21 · 종료
Tomiris Almaty WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+83.7%
VALUE EDGE+83.7%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsTomiris Almaty W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.25
98.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
123.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
L · 74-84L · 75-61L · 49-78L · 74-51L · 75-73
Tomiris Almaty W
L · 51-67W · 77-91L · 47-71W · 66-86L · 55-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.26 | Pavlodar W | 74 : 83 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.11.25 | Pavlodar W | 64 : 68 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.11.21 | Pavlodar W | 57 : 49 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.03.11 | Pavlodar W | 52 : 80 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2023.01.29 | Pavlodar W | 49 : 68 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2022.12.12 | Pavlodar W | 71 : 56 | Tomiris Almaty W |
| 2022.11.09 | Pavlodar W | 59 : 75 | Tomiris Almaty W |