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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Tomiris Almaty WHOME · -
51 : 672023.10.21 · 종료
Aktobe WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Tomiris Almaty WAnalysis MetricsAktobe W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-9.25 Point MarginHigher is better -20.00
123.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 20.00
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
32.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tomiris Almaty W
W · 77-91L · 47-71W · 66-86L · 55-62W · 54-56
Aktobe W
W · 73-51W · 48-71W · 74-51W · 46-68W · 68-32

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.30Tomiris Almaty W46 : 84Aktobe W
2024.04.28Aktobe W69 : 60Tomiris Almaty W
2024.04.27Aktobe W66 : 26Tomiris Almaty W
2024.03.15Tomiris Almaty W64 : 76Aktobe W
2023.12.27Tomiris Almaty W83 : 72Aktobe W
2023.10.21Tomiris Almaty W51 : 67Aktobe W
2023.04.15Tomiris Almaty W55 : 62Aktobe W
2023.04.14Aktobe W54 : 56Tomiris Almaty W
2023.04.13Tomiris Almaty W62 : 74Aktobe W
2022.11.08Tomiris Almaty W67 : 62Aktobe W