Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Aktau WHOME · -
61 : 832023.10.20 · 종료
Astana WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Aktau WAnalysis MetricsAstana W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.83
102.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
125.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
2.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aktau W
W · 49-78L · 66-86L · 46-68L · 68-32L · 53-67
Astana W
L · 48-71W · 56-71L · 55-38L · 28-66L · 69-45
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.19 | Aktau W | 52 : 68 | Astana W |
| 2025.04.13 | Astana W | 66 : 37 | Aktau W |
| 2025.04.13 | Astana W | 61 : 57 | Aktau W |
| 2025.02.11 | Astana W | 73 : 48 | Aktau W |
| 2024.11.11 | Astana W | 67 : 49 | Aktau W |
| 2024.11.10 | Astana W | 68 : 59 | Aktau W |
| 2024.10.31 | Aktau W | 77 : 69 | Astana W |
| 2024.10.30 | Aktau W | 80 : 95 | Astana W |
| 2024.03.14 | Aktau W | 55 : 78 | Astana W |
| 2023.10.20 | Aktau W | 61 : 83 | Astana W |