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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Turan WHOME · -
75 : 612023.10.20 · 종료
Pavlodar WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
Turan WAnalysis MetricsPavlodar W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-3.33 Point MarginHigher is better -9.08
125.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 98.08
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Turan W
W · 47-71W · 67-58W · 55-38W · 28-66W · 69-45
Pavlodar W
L · 49-78L · 74-51L · 75-73L · 57-77L · 65-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.11Turan W61 : 57Pavlodar W
2025.03.10Turan W75 : 48Pavlodar W
2025.02.08Pavlodar W52 : 97Turan W
2024.10.09Pavlodar W56 : 71Turan W
2024.10.08Pavlodar W45 : 65Turan W
2024.03.14Turan W85 : 70Pavlodar W
2023.12.26Turan W82 : 52Pavlodar W
2023.10.20Turan W75 : 61Pavlodar W
2023.03.15Pavlodar W65 : 78Turan W
2023.02.02Pavlodar W60 : 91Turan W