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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

National League Women Kazakhstan
Astana WHOME · -
48 : 712023.10.18 · 종료
Aktobe WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.7%
VALUE EDGE+59.7%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Astana WAnalysis MetricsAktobe W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+8.83 Point MarginHigher is better -20.00
125.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 20.00
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
40.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana W
W · 56-71L · 55-38L · 28-66L · 69-45W · 66-44
Aktobe W
W · 74-51W · 46-68W · 68-32W · 53-67L · 66-44

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.02Astana W20 : 0Aktobe W
2025.03.01Astana W20 : 0Aktobe W
2025.02.07Astana W20 : 0Aktobe W
2024.11.29Aktobe W27 : 82Astana W
2024.11.28Aktobe W37 : 54Astana W
2024.03.12Astana W53 : 56Aktobe W
2023.12.24Astana W55 : 60Aktobe W
2023.10.18Astana W48 : 71Aktobe W
2023.04.20Astana W66 : 44Aktobe W
2023.04.18Aktobe W48 : 63Astana W