Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
National League Women
Kazakhstan
Pavlodar WHOME · -
49 : 782023.10.18 · 종료
Aktau WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Pavlodar WAnalysis MetricsAktau W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
98.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
102.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar W
L · 74-51L · 75-73L · 57-77L · 65-78W · 58-66
Aktau W
L · 66-86L · 46-68L · 68-32L · 53-67L · 88-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.09 | Aktau W | 63 : 58 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.12.17 | Pavlodar W | 58 : 61 | Aktau W |
| 2024.12.16 | Pavlodar W | 63 : 80 | Aktau W |
| 2024.11.29 | Aktau W | 85 : 63 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.11.28 | Aktau W | 84 : 59 | Pavlodar W |
| 2024.03.12 | Pavlodar W | 91 : 99 | Aktau W |
| 2023.12.24 | Pavlodar W | 69 : 81 | Aktau W |
| 2023.10.18 | Pavlodar W | 49 : 78 | Aktau W |
| 2023.04.14 | Aktau W | 75 : 73 | Pavlodar W |
| 2023.04.13 | Pavlodar W | 57 : 77 | Aktau W |