Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
75 : 772024.04.10 · 종료
TuranAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.2%
VALUE EDGE+79.2%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsTuran
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+24.25
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
140.92
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
L · 75-60W · 20-0L · 77-74L · 66-77W · 20-0
Turan
W · 74-69W · 0-20W · 87-77W · 66-77W · 110-106
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.05 | Turan | 92 : 63 | Karaganda |
| 2025.01.30 | Turan | 102 : 53 | Karaganda |
| 2024.12.14 | Turan | 79 : 65 | Karaganda |
| 2024.11.09 | Turan | 83 : 60 | Karaganda |
| 2024.10.15 | Turan | 67 : 52 | Karaganda |
| 2024.04.10 | Karaganda | 75 : 77 | Turan |
| 2024.04.06 | Karaganda | 66 : 77 | Turan |
| 2023.12.13 | Karaganda | 59 : 88 | Turan |
| 2023.10.14 | Karaganda | 49 : 65 | Turan |