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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
Bars PetropavlovskHOME · -
81 : 452024.02.28 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +83.1%
VALUE EDGE+83.1%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADES
Bars PetropavlovskAnalysis MetricsKaraganda
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+10.17 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08
141.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
83.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
16.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bars Petropavlovsk
W · 20-0W · 60-93W · 77-68W · 45-79W · 20-0
Karaganda
L · 66-76W · 20-0L · 60-93W · 0-20L · 45-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.13Karaganda67 : 82Bars Petropavlovsk
2026.10.10Karaganda66 : 95Bars Petropavlovsk
2025.03.06Karaganda48 : 64Bars Petropavlovsk
2025.01.31Karaganda39 : 76Bars Petropavlovsk
2024.12.15Karaganda39 : 114Bars Petropavlovsk
2024.11.10Karaganda46 : 84Bars Petropavlovsk
2024.10.16Karaganda52 : 90Bars Petropavlovsk
2024.02.28Bars Petropavlovsk81 : 45Karaganda
2024.01.29Karaganda60 : 93Bars Petropavlovsk
2024.01.27Karaganda45 : 79Bars Petropavlovsk