Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
80 : 452024.02.26 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-18.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.17
107.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.33
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
L · 96-86L · 49-52L · 75-66W · 72-65L · 88-54
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 66-61L · 78-95L · 79-61L · 66-82L · 63-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.26 | Atyrau 2 | 80 : 45 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.01.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 63 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.11.10 | ChelSU Kostanay | 79 : 69 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.03.19 | Atyrau 2 | 80 : 70 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.02.20 | Atyrau 2 | 80 : 72 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2022.12.10 | Atyrau 2 | 89 : 93 | ChelSU Kostanay |