Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

ShymkentHOME · -

88 : 542024.01.23 · 종료

Atyrau 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY17.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +82.2%

VALUE EDGE+82.2%

FAIR ODDS1.22

GRADES

ShymkentAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+14.42 Point MarginHigher is better -12.67

134.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 105.83

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

82.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

17.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Shymkent

W · 68-99W · 88-71W · 74-116L · 80-102W · 72-81

Atyrau 2

W · 55-53L · 66-63L · 89-75L · 64-76W · 67-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.25	Shymkent	96 : 86	Atyrau 2
2024.02.23	Shymkent	75 : 66	Atyrau 2
2024.01.23	Shymkent	88 : 54	Atyrau 2
2023.11.12	Shymkent	90 : 49	Atyrau 2
2023.04.10	Shymkent	74 : 66	Atyrau 2
2022.11.19	Shymkent	77 : 63	Atyrau 2
2022.10.24	Shymkent	82 : 68	Atyrau 2