Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan

ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
66 : 632024.01.21 · 종료
Atyrau 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-3.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.25
132.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
106.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 55-73W · 76-82W · 69-98W · 91-79L · 89-71
Atyrau 2
L · 89-75L · 64-76W · 67-74L · 63-84W · 62-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.26 | Atyrau 2 | 80 : 45 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.01.21 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 63 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.11.10 | ChelSU Kostanay | 79 : 69 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.03.19 | Atyrau 2 | 80 : 70 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.02.20 | Atyrau 2 | 80 : 72 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2022.12.10 | Atyrau 2 | 89 : 93 | ChelSU Kostanay |