Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
55 : 732023.12.14 · 종료
Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-3.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
132.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 76-82W · 69-98W · 91-79L · 89-71W · 93-71
Bars Petropavlovsk
L · 72-81W · 63-84W · 89-71L · 87-85W · 87-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.05 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 72 : 52 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2025.01.30 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 79 : 57 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.12.14 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 92 : 67 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.11.09 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 97 : 41 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.10.15 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 78 : 63 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.04.08 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 81 : 73 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.12.14 | ChelSU Kostanay | 55 : 73 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2023.12.11 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 89 : 71 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.10.12 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 74 : 67 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.03.18 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 82 | Bars Petropavlovsk |