Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Tigers-KazATUHOME · -
76 : 822023.12.13 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.9%
VALUE EDGE+68.9%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Tigers-KazATUAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.17
132.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tigers-KazATU
W · 77-86W · 107-81W · 58-83W · 49-68W · 71-64
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 69-98W · 91-79L · 89-71W · 93-71L · 72-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.08 | ChelSU Kostanay | 61 : 69 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.03.02 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 71 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2025.01.27 | ChelSU Kostanay | 72 : 89 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.11.13 | ChelSU Kostanay | 92 : 56 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.10.19 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 46 | Tigers-KazATU |
| 2024.04.10 | Tigers-KazATU | 80 : 86 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.04.06 | Tigers-KazATU | 84 : 75 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.12.13 | Tigers-KazATU | 76 : 82 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.10.14 | Tigers-KazATU | 73 : 58 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.04.11 | ChelSU Kostanay | 63 : 89 | Tigers-KazATU |