Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
AltayHOME · -
69 : 982023.12.12 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.9%
VALUE EDGE+78.9%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADES
AltayAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-19.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.17
35.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.33
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Altay
L · 91-79L · 76-92L · 99-80L · 87-61L · 62-73
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 91-79L · 89-71W · 93-71L · 72-69L · 71-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.09 | ChelSU Kostanay | 20 : 0 | Altay |
| 2023.12.12 | Altay | 69 : 98 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.12.12 | ChelSU Kostanay | 91 : 79 | Altay |
| 2023.10.13 | ChelSU Kostanay | 80 : 84 | Altay |
| 2023.04.10 | Altay | 59 : 77 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2022.11.19 | Altay | 41 : 99 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2022.10.24 | Altay | 40 : 104 | ChelSU Kostanay |