Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Bars PetropavlovskHOME · -
89 : 712023.12.11 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.8%
VALUE EDGE+76.8%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADES
Bars PetropavlovskAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+10.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.17
141.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.33
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bars Petropavlovsk
L · 87-85W · 87-61L · 71-64W · 63-76W · 74-36
ChelSU Kostanay
W · 93-71L · 72-69L · 71-81W · 79-69L · 81-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.05 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 72 : 52 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2025.01.30 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 79 : 57 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.12.14 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 92 : 67 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.11.09 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 97 : 41 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.10.15 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 78 : 63 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.04.08 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 81 : 73 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.12.14 | ChelSU Kostanay | 55 : 73 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2023.12.11 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 89 : 71 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.10.12 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 74 : 67 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.03.18 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 82 | Bars Petropavlovsk |