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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
TuranHOME · -
72 : 692023.11.12 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
TuranAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+24.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.17
140.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 132.33
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Turan
W · 74-81W · 95-105L · 82-87W · 49-65L · 47-78
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 71-81W · 79-69L · 81-84L · 73-58L · 80-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.04.10ChelSU Kostanay71 : 86Turan
2025.03.04ChelSU Kostanay69 : 90Turan
2025.01.29ChelSU Kostanay65 : 75Turan
2024.12.13ChelSU Kostanay68 : 79Turan
2024.11.08ChelSU Kostanay58 : 74Turan
2024.02.25Turan66 : 61ChelSU Kostanay
2024.02.23Turan79 : 61ChelSU Kostanay
2024.01.23Turan63 : 61ChelSU Kostanay
2023.11.12Turan72 : 69ChelSU Kostanay