Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
TuranHOME · -
72 : 692023.11.12 · 종료
ChelSU KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
TuranAnalysis MetricsChelSU Kostanay
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+24.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.17
140.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.33
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Turan
W · 74-81W · 95-105L · 82-87W · 49-65L · 47-78
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 71-81W · 79-69L · 81-84L · 73-58L · 80-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.10 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 86 | Turan |
| 2025.03.04 | ChelSU Kostanay | 69 : 90 | Turan |
| 2025.01.29 | ChelSU Kostanay | 65 : 75 | Turan |
| 2024.12.13 | ChelSU Kostanay | 68 : 79 | Turan |
| 2024.11.08 | ChelSU Kostanay | 58 : 74 | Turan |
| 2024.02.25 | Turan | 66 : 61 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.02.23 | Turan | 79 : 61 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.01.23 | Turan | 63 : 61 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2023.11.12 | Turan | 72 : 69 | ChelSU Kostanay |