Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ShymkentHOME · -
78 : 692023.10.13 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.6%
VALUE EDGE+79.6%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
ShymkentAnalysis MetricsKaraganda
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+14.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-16.08
134.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
100.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shymkent
L · 85-69W · 108-64L · 85-68W · 74-66W · 78-87
Karaganda
L · 72-74L · 82-65W · 64-66L · 81-94L · 59-55
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.10 | Karaganda | 0 : 20 | Shymkent |
| 2025.03.04 | Karaganda | 55 : 90 | Shymkent |
| 2025.01.29 | Karaganda | 73 : 91 | Shymkent |
| 2024.12.13 | Karaganda | 67 : 115 | Shymkent |
| 2024.11.08 | Karaganda | 63 : 79 | Shymkent |
| 2024.04.09 | Shymkent | 75 : 60 | Karaganda |
| 2023.12.15 | Karaganda | 74 : 116 | Shymkent |
| 2023.12.12 | Shymkent | 101 : 56 | Karaganda |
| 2023.10.13 | Shymkent | 78 : 69 | Karaganda |
| 2023.03.12 | Karaganda | 68 : 78 | Shymkent |