Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
72 : 742023.10.12 · 종료
Atyrau 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.2%
VALUE EDGE+75.2%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.25
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
106.92
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
L · 82-65W · 64-66L · 81-94L · 59-55W · 81-71
Atyrau 2
L · 65-90W · 71-52L · 74-66W · 59-55L · 80-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.08 | Karaganda | 20 : 0 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.12.14 | Atyrau 2 | 64 : 76 | Karaganda |
| 2023.12.11 | Karaganda | 62 : 86 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.10.12 | Karaganda | 72 : 74 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2023.04.09 | Atyrau 2 | 59 : 55 | Karaganda |
| 2022.11.18 | Atyrau 2 | 61 : 66 | Karaganda |
| 2022.10.23 | Atyrau 2 | 61 : 77 | Karaganda |
| 2021.03.24 | Atyrau 2 | 64 : 83 | Karaganda |
| 2021.02.03 | Atyrau 2 | 56 : 85 | Karaganda |
| 2020.10.29 | Atyrau 2 | 70 : 82 | Karaganda |