Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
82 : 652023.10.11 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+84.9%
VALUE EDGE+84.9%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsKaraganda
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-16.08
132.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
100.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 63-89W · 59-77L · 78-87L · 81-71W · 91-89
Karaganda
W · 64-66L · 81-94L · 59-55W · 81-71L · 81-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.06 | ChelSU Kostanay | 20 : 0 | Karaganda |
| 2025.02.01 | ChelSU Kostanay | 72 : 73 | Karaganda |
| 2024.12.16 | ChelSU Kostanay | 74 : 64 | Karaganda |
| 2024.11.11 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 55 | Karaganda |
| 2024.04.07 | ChelSU Kostanay | 77 : 74 | Karaganda |
| 2023.12.10 | ChelSU Kostanay | 93 : 71 | Karaganda |
| 2023.10.15 | ChelSU Kostanay | 81 : 84 | Karaganda |
| 2023.10.11 | ChelSU Kostanay | 82 : 65 | Karaganda |
| 2023.04.08 | Karaganda | 81 : 71 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2022.11.17 | Karaganda | 88 : 51 | ChelSU Kostanay |