Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
Bars PetropavlovskHOME · -
85 : 682023.04.11 · 종료
ShymkentAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Bars PetropavlovskAnalysis MetricsShymkent
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+14.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.42
139.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
134.42
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bars Petropavlovsk
W · 81-94W · 89-60W · 63-81W · 80-75W · 51-98
Shymkent
W · 74-66W · 78-87W · 102-77W · 73-94W · 91-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.08 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 84 : 79 | Shymkent |
| 2025.03.02 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 71 : 66 | Shymkent |
| 2025.01.27 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 75 : 74 | Shymkent |
| 2024.11.13 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 75 : 79 | Shymkent |
| 2024.10.19 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 87 : 75 | Shymkent |
| 2024.04.10 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 113 : 99 | Shymkent |
| 2024.04.06 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 74 : 79 | Shymkent |
| 2023.12.13 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 72 : 81 | Shymkent |
| 2023.10.14 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 57 : 76 | Shymkent |
| 2023.04.11 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 85 : 68 | Shymkent |