Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

GOTOBELES AstanaHOME · -

71 : 782023.04.11 · 종료

PavlodarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY75.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +75.6%

VALUE EDGE+75.6%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEB

GOTOBELES AstanaAnalysis MetricsPavlodar

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-13.50 Point MarginHigher is better -17.42

150.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.75

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

24.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

75.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

GOTOBELES Astana

W · 84-91L · 64-98W · 66-105L · 73-94L · 62-61

Pavlodar

L · 60-61L · 89-60W · 80-70L · 91-89L · 75-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.11	GOTOBELES Astana	71 : 78	Pavlodar
2022.11.20	GOTOBELES Astana	71 : 79	Pavlodar
2022.10.25	GOTOBELES Astana	91 : 67	Pavlodar